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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 20 June 2026 by the Media Grid UK weather desk. Data from national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
The next UK heatwave is not currently forecast within the next 14 days; the latest Met Office outlook shows a 10–20% chance of a three-day hot spell in southern England by mid-July 2026, with temperatures likely peaking at 28–30°C. This means no imminent heatwave is expected, though a brief warm spell is possible later in the summer.
When is the next heatwave likely in the UK?
Based on the Met Office’s 16–30 day outlook, the next credible heatwave window opens around 14–20 July 2026, with a 15% probability of temperatures reaching 30°C for three consecutive days in the South East. For the rest of the UK, the chance drops to below 5%. The 10 Day Weather Forecast UK shows no heatwave conditions in the immediate outlook, with highs of 18–22°C typical for late June.
What does the live ranking above show?
The live ranking above compares current UK regions by their likelihood of reaching heatwave thresholds (three days ≥ 28°C). As of today, London and the South East rank highest at 12%, while Scotland and Northern Ireland sit at 0%. This data updates hourly from Met Office ensemble models.
Will there be a UK heatwave in 2026?
Yes, a short heatwave is probable in July 2026, but not guaranteed. The Met Office long-range forecast indicates a 40% chance of at least one heatwave event between July and August, typical for a UK summer.
When will it start getting warmer in the UK in 2026?
Temperatures are expected to rise gradually from mid-June 2026, with sustained warmth likely from early July. The UK weather hub shows a 60% chance of above-average temperatures in the second half of July.
Is a storm coming to the UK today?
No storm is forecast for today or the next 48 hours. The next storm to hit Britain this weekend is unlikely; check the Moderate Rainfall Warning for any minor weather alerts.